APRIL 7: At a press conference this afternoon, Bogaerts made it clear that negotiations on the extension of the contract have stalled and that he does not intend to sign a new contract before the opening hours in New York tomorrow (first reported by Chris Cotillo at MassLive; Twitter link). Asked if he would agree to an extension, he simply replied: “No.Asked afterwards if an offer had been made, he replied:Yes. But it did not work and we will see how it goes from there.”
The short halt also seemed to rule out the possibility of negotiations during the period, adding, “I can do nothing about it right now. I have a season ahead of me and I do not want to put any of our teammates in such a mess. They do not deserve it. We had time to do something. It did not work.”
As stated below, Bogaerts can opt out of the remaining three years and $ 60MM of his contract at the end of the 2022 season. He would be entering a potentially crowded short-term market that will likely include Trea Turner, Dansby Swanson, Elvis Andrusand Didi Gregoríusas well as Carlos Correa he should (as expected) cancel the last two years of his contract with the twins. He would nevertheless be almost certain to top his remaining warranty as long as he is complete and maintains his recent production.
APRIL 6: Red Sox star third baseman Rafael Devers recently rejected an extension offer from the team, says Héctor Gómez at Z101 (Twitter link). Gómez adds Boston’s bid for Devers topped the $ 124 million deal Jose Ramirez signed with the Guardians. Further details about the offer are not known, but MassLive’s Chris Cotillo says the sides are “very far” apart.
Both Gómez and Cotillo suggest that more discussions are unlikely before the Red Sox open the season on Friday against the Yankees. Devers has previously indicated that he will not be having fun in overtime this season. That seems to allow him to play out this season on a $ 11.2MM salary, which he and the Sox agreed last month to avoid arbitration.
That’s why Boston’s sales department will at least deal with extending Devers next winter. It can be ruled by arbitration for another period beyond that. For the next offseason, the dominant AL Silver Slugger at the third station will have collected over $ 16MM in operating income. In addition to a significant injury, he will be in line for a rather notable pay rise this season in his final year of arbitration before striking out a free agency before he is 27 years old.
It goes without saying that Devers has little pressure to accept a substantial discount. The Red Sox will certainly not make a market value offer two years before the free agency, but to keep it in the fold in the long run would require one of the largest investments in the history of its bucket service. The Braves signed with the first baseman Matt Olson – which also has four additional service years – for an eight-year, $ 168MM extension last month. Only Joey Votto (ten years, $ 225MM) and Giancarlo Stanton (13 years, $ 325MM) have topped Olson’s contract with players between four and five years.
Olson was predicted to pay $ 12MM in arbitration before signing his extension, not unlike Devers’ current goal. He and Devers have a similar family number going back three seasons. Olson has a .257 / .354 / .522 line since the beginning of 2019; Devers is a .290 / .350 / .537 hitter at the time. The latter strikes for a better average, but Olson pulls significantly more walks. Olson has been 34 percentage points above average over wRC +, while Devers is 29 points above par.
Obviously, Olson and Devers do not compare apples to apples. Devers plays a more demanding position, but he is considered one of the worst third defenders in the league. Olson plays in the position that is furthest down the defensive line, but he is perhaps the best glove of the game at first base. It could be argued that Olson is the most valuable all-rounder, but Devers is two and a half years younger. Devers’ camp at Rep 1 Baseball could argue that the contract is longer than Olson’s in length and overall warranty, so it’s not surprising that “just” topping the $ 124MM guaranteed by Ramirez was not enough. (To be clear, it is not known how close the Red Sox’s offer to Devers was Ramirez’s number).
Regardless of whether Boston and Devers work out something in the long run, it will be for the next two seasons. That’s not necessarily the case for a short stop Xander Bogaerts, who can opt out of the remaining three years and $ 60MM on his contract after that period. Boston Globe’s Alex Speier spoke to Boagerts on Monday. The star told Speier that he and the club had been in talks this spring but said he did not expect an extension in the next few days. Like Devers, Bogaerts said he was not interested in continuing negotiations when the season began.
Bogaerts would go public for its 30-year-old and seems likely to top $ 60 million. apart from an unexpected downturn in performance or injury. The Sox added potential All-Star options last month when they signed Trevor Story for a six-year, $ 140MM contract. The longtime Rockie agreed to play another station this season in honor of Boagerts. Boston could keep him afloat if they reach a long-term deal with Bogaerts, but Story could also return to its old position in 2023 if the Sox’s shortstop goes elsewhere.